Thursday, September 29, 2011

Weekly Wager: Week 4

Nebraska (+9.5) @ Wisconsin - SAT 8:00PM - ABC
Nebraska's first Big Ten Conference will not treat them nicely. The Cornhuskers will be no match for the Badgers in Camp Randall Stadium on Saturday night.  Russell Wilson is proving to be the missing piece for Wisconsin's office which is averaging 48.5 points per game and over 530 yards of total offense per game.  Nebraska's D-Line has struggled in particular so expect Montee Ball and James White to keep trucking and improve on their 245 yards per game.  The Badgers are 45-4 at home since 2004, don't look for this to be their 5th loss.  Oh yea, the Badgers are 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 games.....Wisconsin 38, Nebraska 24

Carolina (+7.5) @ Chicago - SUN 1:00PM 
After a couple tough matchups against the Saints and Packers, Chicago will rebound against the Panthers.  Cam Newton will look to use the TEs, which the Packers did successfully against the Bears, but Chicago's defense will be all over Greg Olsen and Jeremy Shockey causing Cammy Cam problems all afternoon. 
The Bears need this win badly, so expect for them to show up at home and get back on track.  Expect Cutler to pick apart Carolina's man-to-man defense and Forte to have a big day on the ground....Chicago 27, Carolina 17

Buffalo (-3.0) @ Cincinnati - SUN 1:00PM
Led by a class act in Ryan Fitzpatrick, I don't expect the a Bills letdown after a big win at home against the Pats.  Give Andy Dalton credit, he's gotten off to a much faster start than most expected, but the Bengals are still only averaging 19 points a game compared to the Bills' 38.  Cedric Benson's participation will surely help, but with the team averaging less than 100 yards on the ground, Paul Brown stadium will be empty by the 3rd quarter...just like last Sunday.  The Bills will control both sides of the ball.....Buffalo 35, Cincinnati 21 

Washington (-1.0) @ St. Louis - SUN 1:00PM
The 'Skins need to regroup on a short week after a sloppy loss in Dallas on Monday night and will likely be in luck against the flailing Rams. The Rams need this win to save their season, but I don't see it happening with top receiver Danny Amendola likely out for Sunday.  With one of the worst run defenses in the league, the 'Skins should run the ball well and ultimately open up the passing game for Grossman who needs to prove he can hold onto the ball....Washington 17, St. Louis 14

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