Monday, January 2, 2012

Weekly Wager: BCS Edition Part I

For the season, Weekly Wager is 33-22 with 2 pushes. 8-8 on college games, 25-14-2 in NFL. As promised, see below for Part I of our special Weekly Wager BCS Edition:

Rose Bowl: Wisconsin
@ Oregon (-6.0) - Jan 2 @ 5:00PM - ESPN
On paper, this is a phenomenal matchup. Oregon is averaging 46ppg and 515ypg versus Wisconsin's 45ppg and 467ypg. Russell Wilson has been phenomenal this year with 31 TDs and just 3 INTs, while Darron Thomas is not far behind with 30 TD passes and just 6 INTs. The Ducks biggest challenge will be stopping Montee Ball who has an NCAA best 1,759 yards rushing and 32 rushing TDs behind a massive offensive line that could pose problems for the Ducks. LeMichael James has rushed for just 113 yards less than Montee Ball in two less games. The Ducks defense, which ranks 45th against the run, has only allowed 12 rushing TDs in 13 games. The Badger defense surprisingly ranks 6th in the nation giving up 17ppg, but it won't be enough in this year's Rose Bowl. After losing two straight BCS bowl games, I think Oregon's offense is too good for Wisconsin's defense and ultimately leads them to their first BCS bowl victory under Chip Kelly...Wisconsin 41, Oregon 49

Fiesta Bowl: Stanford @ Oklahoma State (-4.0) - Jan 2 @ 8:30PM - ESPN
As long as Mike Gundy has Oklahoma State focused on this game, and not grumbling about missing out on a shot at the title, I expect Oklahoma State to handle Stanford with relative ease. The Cowboys season will likely most be remembered by the double-overtime loss to Iowa State, which ultimately prevented them from getting to the BCS championship. Brandon Weeden has led a high octane offense completing over 73% of his passes and throwing for over 4,300 yards. He's had the good fortune of throwing to Justin Blackmon who has over 3,000 yards receiving and 35 TDs over the last two seasons, but the Cowboys also have a solid running game led by Joseph Randle (1193 yds rushing and 23 rushing TDs). Andrew Luck has had an impressive career and will likely be the number 1 pick in the upcoming NFL draft, but his team simply isn't good enough to beat the elite teams. In matchups against USC and Oregon, Stanford gave up an average 50.5 ppg. Stanford finished the year 2-1 against Top 25 teams, while Oklahoma State went 4-0 against Top 25 opponents, including an impressive beat down of the Sooners after their loss at Iowa State. It will be a high scoring affair in which Oklahoma State ultimately increases the cries for a college football playoff system...Stanford 41, Oklahoma State 52

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