Saturday, January 7, 2012

Weekly Wager: Wild Card Weekend

For the season, Weekly Wager is 34-24-3. We're 9-10-1 on college games and 25-14-2 on pro games. With that said, here are the picks for this week:

Cincinnati @ Houston (-4.0) - SAT 4:30PM - NBC
It's a weird year in Cincy, which starts with Mike Brown looking like a decent GM. Cincy essentially made the playoffs without an upset win all season and struggled mightily in close games. However, I think they win their first big game all season on Wild Card Weekend. The Bengals have two things going for them; they have the confidence they can beat Houston after a last second defeat in Week 14, and Andy Dalton is going up against another rookie QB. It's worth noting Dalton missed some practice this week because of the flu, but the coaches are saying he's up to speed and it's a non-issue. Cincy wins in a close game as Andy Dalton and AJ Green have solid performances in their first nationally televised game...Cincinnati 24, Houston 20

Detroit @ New Orleans (-10.5) - SAT 8:00PM - NBC
Detroit has improved since their 31-17 loss at the Superdome on December 4th and they're healthier now, but it won't be enough to beat the Saints. The Lions have enough firepower to stay close with the Saints' offense, but Drew Brees is simply too good for the Lions' defense, which made Matt Flynn look like an All-Pro last week. The Saints have won 8 straight, scored over 40 points in their last 3, and haven't loss at home since last season. This should be the best game of the weekend. The Saints have covered in 8 straight, but I think Detroit covers here in a solid effort against my Super Bowl favorite...Detroit 34, New Orleans 42

Atlanta @ New York Giants (-3.0) - SUN 1:00PM - FOX
The Giants are feeling good right now and I expect that continue into next weekend. Victor Cruz has stepped up in a big way and his play has led to increased confidence for the entire squad. The Giants offensive line has started to come together which should help the 32nd ranked running game when they need it most; The Giants are 7-0 when they rush for over 100 yards. The Falcons have been an inconsistent team this year and are 4-4 on the road. The Roddy White-Julio Jones combo should be concerning for Giants fans, but I think the best defensive line in the league prevents Matt Ryan from getting the time he needs for big plays. As in '07, the Giants hit the playoffs with some momentum after losing a close and winnable game to the 'best' team in the league. Don't be surprised if the Giants make it to Indy...Atlanta 27, New York Giants 31

Pittsburgh @ Denver (+8.0) - SUN 4:30PM - CBS
Despite all the injuries (coaches included) around the Steelers over the last couple weeks, I expect them to handle Denver with ease. Denver will likely throw in some gimmicks on offense (Brady Quinn), as Tim Tebow doesn't have a prayer of beating the top ranked defense in the league doing what he's been doing recently. Big Ben has played with injuries his whole career and shouldn't have a problem doing it again. I think Issac Redman will have a bigger game than people are expecting, while Mike Wallace and Antonio Brown should continue their strong seasons into atleast the second round of the playoffs. Pittsburgh covers in a game that's probably not as close as the final score indicates...Pittsburgh 21, Denver 10

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