Sunday, January 22, 2012

Weekly Wager: AFC & NFC Championship Picks

For the season, Weekly Wager is 40-27-3. 10-10-1 on college games, 30-17-2 in NFL. With that said, see below for this week's picks:

Baltimore @ New England (-7.0) - SUN 3:00PM - CBS
Much like last week's Saints vs Niners matchup, this is going to be a game between a top offense and a top defense. Ravens fans better hope Joe Flacco took some notes on Alex Smith's performance, because much like Smith, Flacco will be the difference. Ray Rice shouldn't have a tough time on the ground against a defense that gives up alomst 120ypg, so it comes down to Flacco's ability to spread the ball and throw for a few hundred yards. Tom Brady had an impressive outing last week, but when a QB of his caliber does not get sacked and is only hit twice on 34 drop backs, what do you expect? Look for the Ravens defense to get to Brady and rattle the Golden Boy. Baltimore's defensive coordinator Chuck Pagano is well aware of the threat Gronkowski and Hernandez pose, but he knows his squad needs to stay focused on Brady's safety net, Wes Welker. Something tells me if Ricky Williams is talking about hitting the Pats in the mouth, the Ravens are hungry and ready for this game. Just another badass Harbaugh doing his job. Don't forget the Ravens smoked the Pats 33-14 in Foxboro in the playoffs two years ago. I'm taking Baltimore to cover and think they pull out the upset. Don't feel bad for the Golden Boy, I'm sure he'll enjoy the off-season in his new mega mansion...Baltimore 27, New England 24

New York Giants @ San Francisco (-2.0) - SUN 6:30PM - FOX
The Giants, aka the "Road Warriors," are the most balanced team left in the playoffs and my favorite to win it all. Alex Smith seemed to have erased all the negativity of the past 6 years with last week's comeback win. Good for him, but it's back to reality this week. If the weather is as bad as expected, it's probably an advantage for the Niners who have one of the best running games in the league. However, the Giants defense is playing lights out right now and I don't see that changing. The Niners defense has been great all year and last week's win was awesome, but let's be clear, they gave up 32 points to the Saints on grass, outdoors. Eli(te) is playing the best football of his life right now and his players believe in him more than ever. The running game is coming around, Hakeem Nicks is back to his old self, and Victor Cruz is the cherry on top. What Jim Harbaugh has done in his first year as a head coach in the NFL is beyond impressive, but Coughlin's players have bought into his message and he's on the cusp of going down as the best coach in New York Football Giants history. I'm taking the Giants, who are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games, to win on the road once again....New York Giants 24, San Francisco 20

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